In 2023, the share of corresponding/leading authors in U.S. aerospace engineering scientific publications was 96.14%. The forecast from 2024 to 2028 shows a gradual decline, with a year-on-year decrease of approximately 0.08%. Over this five-year period, the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) is a consistent negative trend, indicating a slight decline annually in the presence of these authors as leaders in publications.
Future trends to watch for include the increasing collaboration and international co-authorship that may further influence the decrease in the share of U.S.-based leading authors due to the growing globalization of research efforts.