In 2023, Brazil's import of coniferous softwood lumber stood at 2.5 million kilograms. Forecasts predict a declining trend from 2024, with imports decreasing from 2.3095 million kilograms in 2024 to 1.3227 million kilograms by 2028. This represents a consistent year-on-year decrease in import volume, averaging a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of -12% over the five-year forecast period. Significant declines are expected, especially from 2024 to 2025 and 2025 to 2026, indicating a steady shift in market demand or possible substitution.
Future trends to watch include:
- Changes in domestic production capacities that could reduce import needs.
- Potential policy adjustments in trade or tariffs affecting lumber imports.
- Economic factors influencing construction and furniture industries, key consumers of softwood lumber.
- Environmental considerations and sustainability trends impacting supply chains.