Organic pome fruits production in the UK has seen varying trends over the past decade. Starting from a high of 15.1 thousand metric tons in 2014, there was a noticeable decline with some fluctuations. A significant drop occurred in 2017, but production recovered slightly to 12.49 thousand metric tons by 2019. Despite minor increases in 2021, the general trend remains downward, with 2023 production standing at 11.1 thousand metric tons. The year-on-year variation for 2023 shows a decrease of 1.83%, and the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over the last five years is a modest 0.11%.
Forecast data from 2024 to 2028 predicts a continued decline in production, with a forecasted 5-year CAGR of -1.62% and a total reduction of 7.85% by 2028. This emphasizes a long-term downtrend despite short-term recoveries.
Future trends to watch for include potential impacts of climate change, advancements in organic farming technologies, and shifts in consumer demand for organic produce. These factors could influence production volumes and either exacerbate or mitigate the predicted declines.
