The primary fruit production in Mexico has exhibited a consistent growth pattern from 2013 to 2023, starting at 19.105 million metric tons in 2013 and reaching 25.425 million metric tons in 2023. The year-on-year variation fluctuated over this period, with significant growth years such as 2016 (6.23%) and a dip in 2020 (-3.61%). The last two years before 2023 saw moderate growth rates of 1.91% and 1.83%. Looking at the longer-term trend, the Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) over the five years leading to 2023 was approximately 2.2%, suggesting a steady increase in production output.
Future trends indicate continued growth in primary fruit production, projected to reach 27.816 million metric tons by 2028. The forecast five-year CAGR from 2024 to 2028 is estimated at 1.42%, with an overall growth rate of 7.28%. Analysts should closely watch for technological advancements in agriculture, climate change impacts, and shifts in domestic and international demand that could influence these projections.
