The forecast for the national movements of passenger cars in Norway predicts a steady increase in the total vehicle-kilometers from 2024 to 2028. The value is expected to rise from 37.1 billion vehicle-kilometers in 2024 to 37.93 billion in 2028. In 2023, the total vehicle-kilometers stood at 36.89 billion. This indicates a moderate year-on-year growth, averaging around 0.55% to 0.60% annually.
The trends over the last two years show a continuation of the gradual increase observed historically. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) projected from 2024 to 2028 reflects the persistence of moderate growth, emphasizing a consistent rise in the usage of passenger cars over the five-year period.
Future trends to watch for include the impact of increasing adoption of electric vehicles, advancements in autonomous driving technology, and potential regulatory changes aimed at reducing carbon emissions, which could affect the overall vehicle-kilometers traveled.
