Forecast: Number of Buses in France

The number of buses in France has shown a steady increase over the past decade. In 2023, the fleet stood at 30.84 thousand, reflecting consistent growth in the sector. The actual data from 2013 to 2023 indicate a positive trend with occasional dips such as in 2016. The most significant year-on-year growth occurred in 2018 with a 7.16% increase, while the CAGR for the five years leading up to 2023 was 5.32%.

Future trends to watch for:

  • Continued growth in the number of buses, with a forecasted 5-year CAGR of 3.28% up to 2028.
  • Potential impact of emerging technologies, such as electric and autonomous buses, on fleet expansion and replacement cycles.
  • Policy and regulatory changes focused on reducing carbon emissions, potentially accelerating the shift towards greener public transport options.

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