The forecast for fresh groundwater abstraction in the agricultural sector in Germany from 2024 to 2028 shows a consistent increase. The projections indicate a rise from 4.5 cubic meters per capita in 2024 to 5.08 in 2028. This upward trend represents an overall increase of approximately 12.8% over the five-year period.
From 2024 to 2025, the abstraction is projected to grow by 3.33%, while the increase from 2025 to 2026 is expected to be 3.23%. For the subsequent years, 2026 to 2027 will see a 2.92% rise, and from 2027 to 2028, a growth of 2.83% is expected.
Notably, the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over this period is expected to average around 3.2% per year.
Future trends to watch for include:
- Impact of climate change on water availability and agricultural practices.
- Policy measures to promote sustainable water use in agriculture.
- Technological advancements in irrigation and water management.
- Shifts in crop patterns due to market demand and environmental conditions.