Forecast: Air Carrier Aircraft in the US

From 2013 to 2023, the number of air carrier aircraft in the US shows a decreasing trend. As of 2023, the total stands at 6.55 thousand. Year-on-year variations over the past two years show a consistent decline of around -0.5%. The average yearly change over the past five years (CAGR) is negative at -0.51%, reflecting a steady yet gradual reduction in fleet size.

Future forecasts indicate a continued downward trend, with a projected 5-year CAGR of -0.41%, suggesting an additional 2.04% contraction by 2028.

Trends to watch for include fleet modernization efforts, technological advancements in aircraft, and potential regulatory changes which may influence fleet composition and size in the future.

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