Forecast: Share of Transport Services in Commercial Service Imports in Nigeria

From 2013 to 2023, the share of transport services in commercial service imports in Nigeria has shown significant fluctuations. The highest point was in 2016 at 52.07%, and the lowest in 2019 at 17.82%. The year-on-year variation reached its peak in 2016 with a 23.09% increase, and its lowest in 2017 with a -50.55% drop. The CAGR saw notable changes, with the highest in 2023 at 16.7% and the lowest in 2019 at -13.87%. Looking ahead, from 2024 to 2028, the forecasted share stabilizes around 44.62%, reflecting a consistent but modest growth trend of 0.04% CAGR.

Future trends to watch for include:

• Potential impacts of global economic shifts on Nigeria's import structure.

• Technological advancements in transport services.

• Policy changes affecting trade and transportation sectors.

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