Forecast: Share of Scientific Publications Among the World's 10% Top-Cited Publications in Aerospace Engineering in the UK

In 2023, the share of the UK's aerospace engineering publications among the world's 10% top-cited was approximately 12.2%. The forecast from 2024 to 2028 predicts a gradual decline from 11.99% to 11.14%. This illustrates a consistent downward trend in the UK's influence in top-cited aerospace engineering publications.

Year-on-year variation shows a slow decline, starting with a 1.75% decrease in 2025, continuing with a similar decline in subsequent years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) indicates an average shrinkage of 1.82% per year over this period.

Future trends to watch for include evolving research focus areas, collaboration opportunities within interdisciplinary domains, and potential impacts from Brexit-related policy changes that may influence funding and international cooperation in aerospace engineering research.

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