Forecast: Liquefied Natural Gas Import in China

China's liquefied natural gas (LNG) imports have shown substantial growth between 2013 and 2021, peaking at 109.89 billion cubic meters in 2021. This period featured high year-on-year variation, with notable peaks in 2017 and 2018, each showing over 40% growth. However, a downturn began in 2022, with a -15.2% drop followed by a -1.97% decrease in 2023, standing at 91.35 billion cubic meters. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over the last five years was 4.46%, indicating slower growth. Future forecasts from 2024 to 2028 project a continued decline, with a forecasted 5-year CAGR of -2.81% and overall reduction of 13.29% by 2028.

Future trends to watch for:

  • Potential development in renewable energy sources and their impact on LNG demand.
  • Economic policies and global market conditions affecting LNG trade.
  • Technological advancements in energy efficiency and their potential influence on LNG consumption.