The foreign tourist arrivals in France experienced substantial fluctuations from 2013 to 2023. The number saw a gradual increase until 2015, followed by a dip in 2016, and then peaked in 2018 with 52.506 million arrivals. The COVID-19 pandemic had a severe impact, causing a dramatic drop in 2020 to 15.543 million arrivals. Recovery attempts were seen in 2021 and 2022, though 2023 experienced a decline to 41.588 million arrivals.
Year-on-year variations highlight significant downturns in 2016 and 2020, with a strong rebound in 2018 and 2022. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over the last five years stands at -4.56%. Forecasts for 2024 to 2028 project a stable but modest growth with a forecasted 5-year CAGR of 0.73%, showing a slower recovery pace post-crisis.
Future trends to watch for:
- Economic recovery from global disruptions and its impact on international travel.
- Potential changes in tourist preferences and emerging destinations within France.
- Effectiveness of tourism campaigns and marketing strategies by French tourism authorities.
- Ongoing changes in travel restrictions and health safety measures globally.