Forecast: Share of Corresponding/Leading Author in Scientific Publications in Drug Discovery in Canada

The share of corresponding or leading authors in scientific publications in drug discovery in Canada is projected to steadily decline from 2024 to 2028. Starting at 84.09% in 2024, it is forecasted to decrease to 82.32% by 2028. Prior estimates place the 2023 figure slightly higher, reflecting an ongoing trend of diminishing individual leadership in these publications. This decline represents a subtle but consistent negative year-on-year change.

Future trends to watch for include:

  • Collaborative authorship models may continue to rise, influencing corresponding author shares.
  • The increasing emphasis on interdisciplinary research might redistribute authorship roles.
  • Technological advances in drug discovery could alter publication dynamics, affecting author roles.

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