The number of persons injured in road accidents in the Netherlands has demonstrated varied trends from 2015 to 2023. Staring from 21.3 thousand in 2015, there were modest increases through 2017, followed by a significant surge by 6.48% in 2018. Post-2019, the trend saw a dip in 2020 with a -7.33% drop, likely influenced by pandemic-related restrictions, before recovering by 5.58% in 2021. The subsequent years saw more stabilized and moderate increases, culminating at 23.26 thousand persons by 2023. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over the last five years is calculated at 0.23%.
From 2024 onwards, the forecasted figures suggest a steady and consistent increase, averaging a 0.94% CAGR, reaching 24.7 thousand persons by 2028. The overall growth rate for this period is projected at 4.81%.
Future trends to watch for include:
- Changes in road safety regulations and their impact on accident rates.
- Advancements in vehicle safety technology and their adoption rates.
- Potential external factors, such as economic conditions or significant shifts in transportation patterns, like increased use of public transit or cycling.