The number of road casualties in the UK is forecasted to decline from around 130.92 thousand persons in 2024 to 109.28 thousand persons by 2028. Compared to 2023, this suggests a continuation of a downward trend in road casualties. The year-on-year percentage decrease from 2024 to 2028 ranges between approximately 4% and 5%. Over the five-year period, the Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) indicates a consistent average decrease of about 4.4% per year.
Future trends to watch for include potential changes in vehicle safety technology, traffic regulations, and infrastructure improvements, as these could further influence the reduction in road casualties. Monitoring shifts in transportation habits, such as increased use of public transport or micro-mobility options, is also important.
