Forecast: Fixed Broadband Suscriptions in the UK

The fixed broadband subscription rate in the UK has shown consistent growth over the past decade. As of 2023, the subscription rate stands at 41.68 subscriptions per hundred persons, reflecting a 0.88% year-on-year increase from 2022. The last two years have seen minimal growth variations, with an annual increase of roughly 0.68%. Over the past five years, the CAGR has slowed to 0.81%, indicating a matured market phase.

Looking ahead, future trends suggest continued, though modest, growth in fixed broadband subscriptions, with a forecasted 5-year CAGR of 0.33%, leading to an estimated subscription rate of 42.61 by 2028. The expected increase over this period is about 1.64%, signifying a highly saturated market with limited room for rapid growth.

Future trends to watch include:

• Potential impacts of emerging technologies such as 5G and fiber-to-the-home (FTTH) networks on subscription rates.
• Shifts in consumer preferences towards mobile and wireless solutions.
• Policy changes and government interventions aimed at broadband accessibility and affordability.