Forecast: Share of Scientific Publications Among the World's 10% Top-Cited Publications in Artificial Intelligence in India

In 2023, the share of India's scientific publications among the world's top 10% cited in Artificial Intelligence was at 6.10%. Forecasts indicate a gradual decline from 2024 to 2028, with values decreasing from 6.04% to 5.82%.

Year-on-year variations show a marginal decrease of approximately 0.5 percentage points annually. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over the forecasted period suggests an average decline of about 0.26% per year.

Future trends to watch for include shifts in research focus, increased collaboration with international institutions, and the impact of government policies on innovation and AI research funding.

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