From 2013 to 2023, the number of scientific publications in Artificial Intelligence in Brazil grew from 535.57 to 2030 units, reflecting an overall positive trend. The year-on-year variation consistently showed substantial growth, with peaks in 2016 (23.46%) and 2018 (28.04%). Over the past two years, growth rates were more moderate, at 10.17% for 2022 and 9.3% for 2023. The CAGR over the last five years averages 12.46%, suggesting sustained growth. Future projections forecast a 30.84% total increase from 2024 to 2028 with an estimated 5.52% annual growth, indicating continued, though moderately slowing, expansion.
Future trends to watch for include the increasing integration of AI research in interdisciplinary studies, heightened national and international collaboration, and significant input from emerging AI technologies like quantum computing and advanced machine learning techniques. Monitoring government policies and funding allocations will also be crucial to understanding and forecasting the trajectory of AI research outputs in Brazil.
