The number of surgery specialists in Canada has shown a consistent upward trend from 2013 to 2023, with the value standing at 16.77 thousand persons in 2023. This growth reflects a cumulative annual growth rate (CAGR) of 1.31% over the past five years. Year-on-year variation between 2022 and 2023 showed a moderate increase of 1.26%, continuing the general ascending trajectory observed over the decade.
In recent years, specifically from 2022 to 2023, there has been a more cautious growth, contrasting with the earlier part of the decade where more significant increases were noted, particularly in 2015 (+2.69%) and 2018 (+2.57%). Notably, 2020 saw an anomalous decline of -0.14% likely impacted by external factors such as the COVID-19 pandemic.
Looking ahead from 2024, the forecast indicates a continuation of growth, albeit at a slightly moderated pace with a predicted 5-year CAGR of 0.93%, culminating in an anticipated 17.78 thousand specialists by 2028, marking a 4.73% growth over the five years.
Future trends to watch for include the integration of advanced medical technologies, potential impacts of healthcare policy changes, and demographic shifts influencing healthcare demand. These factors could introduce variability in the forecasted trends, particularly as the healthcare landscape continues to evolve post-pandemic.
