The forecasted data for gas oil and diesel oil (excluding biofuel) available for final consumption in Italy indicates a gradual decrease from 2024 through 2028. In 2023, the actual consumption figure stood at 290.5 thousand gigawatthours.
The year-on-year variations show a consistent decline by a slight margin each year: 0.52% reduction in 2025, 0.53% in 2026, 0.53% in 2027, and 0.52% in 2028. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) from 2024 to 2028 suggests an average annual decrease of approximately 0.53%. This trend points to a steady reduction in the consumption of gas oil and diesel oil over this period.
Future trends to watch for include:
- The impact of increasing energy efficiency measures and regulatory policies aimed at reducing carbon emissions that may accelerate the decline in fossil fuel consumption.
- An uptick in alternative fuel sources, including biofuels and electric vehicles, which could further reduce the demand for traditional diesel and gas oil.
- Economic factors and potential technological advancements that could influence energy consumption behaviors in Italy.