Forecast: Sesame Seed Production in Niger

The production of sesame seeds in Niger has experienced significant fluctuations over the last decade. Starting from a low of 34 thousand metric tons in 2015, it peaked at 90 thousand metric tons in 2018. From 2019 to 2023, the production presented a steady trend with slight variations, stabilizing around 86 to 91 thousand metric tons. Specifically, in 2023, the production reached 91 thousand metric tons, showing a modest year-on-year increase of 2.25% from the previous year. The average annual growth rate over the past five years (CAGR) has been relatively low at 0.22%, indicating minimal overall growth in recent years.

Looking ahead, the forecast for the years 2024 to 2028 suggests a consistent upward trend with an average annual growth rate (CAGR) of 2.03%, culminating in a projected production of approximately 103.6 thousand metric tons by 2028. This represents an overall growth rate of 10.57% over the five-year period.

Future trends to watch for include potential impacts of climate change on crop yields, technological advancements in agricultural practices, and market demand fluctuations, which could further influence production volumes.

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