The forecasted trend in the share of corresponding/leading author in US scientific publications in applied microbiology and biotechnology suggests gradual decline from 89.25% in 2024 to 88.47% in 2028. Historical data from 2023 was unpublished; hence, the forecast highlights a steady, minimal yearly decrease, with an average compound annual growth rate (CAGR) showcasing a decrement of approximately 0.08% per annum over five years.
Future trends to watch for include:
- Technological advancements potentially altering authorship distribution.
- Changes in collaborative research practices, possibly impacting leadership roles.
- Policy shifts encouraging more diverse authorship structures.