In Italy, the number of long-term care beds in hospitals has seen a consistent decline from 2013 to 2023, moving from 9.58 thousand beds in 2013 to 7.8 thousand beds in 2023. This downward trend is reflected in the year-on-year variations, which have mostly seen negative growth rates, indicating a decrease in hospital bed numbers each year. From a peak decrease of 5.16% in 2013, the annual reduction has stabilized somewhat but continued its downward trajectory with a 1.73% decrease in 2023. The five-year CAGR from 2018 to 2023 stands at -1.53%, indicating a persistent moderate decline.
Future trends to watch for:
- According to the forecast, this reduction trend is expected to continue, with the number of long-term care beds predicted to drop to 7.08 thousand by 2028.
- The forecasted five-year CAGR from 2024 to 2028 is expected to align closely with historical trends at -1.52%, implying continued but moderate declines in hospital bed availability.
- Healthcare policy adjustments and aging population dynamics will be critical factors influencing these numbers. Monitoring changes in healthcare infrastructure and investment will also be crucial in predicting future supply scenarios.
