Forecast: Female Tertiary Education Graduates in the UK

The total number of female tertiary education graduates in the UK has shown a steady increase over the past decade. The figure stood at 510.88 thousand persons in 2023. Analyzing the year-on-year variations reveals that the growth rate has generally been decreasing but remains positive. For example, the increase from 2022 to 2023 was 1.3%, slightly lower than the previous year's 1.35%. Over the last five years, the average annual growth rate, or Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR), has been about 1.4%.

Looking ahead, the forecasted data from 2024 onwards suggests a continual but slower incline. By 2028, the number is projected to reach 541.82 thousand persons, with a five-year CAGR of 0.93%. The lower CAGR indicates a trend where the rate of increase is diminishing, though the absolute number is still growing.

Future trends to watch for:

  • Potential impact of demographic changes on new enrollments in tertiary education.
  • Effect of policy changes related to higher education and gender parity on graduate numbers.
  • Economic factors that might influence education funding and opportunities for women.
  • Technological advancements in education delivery methods that could affect student enrollment and graduation rates.

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