In 2023, the tax expenditure on natural gas for residential use in Italy was estimated at 270.67 million US dollars in constant 2020 terms. The forecasted figures show a projected increase through 2028 from 292.04 million US dollars in 2024 to 379.97 million US dollars by 2028. This represents a compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 6.6% over the five-year period. Year-on-year variations display a consistent growth trajectory, with the highest percentage increase anticipated in the latter years.

Future trends to watch for include:

Potential policy changes impacting taxation on natural gas and its alternatives.
Shifts towards renewable energy sources potentially affecting residential gas usage.
Economic factors or subsidies for energy efficiency impacting tax expenditures.