For 2024, international students at the doctoral level in the US are forecasted to comprise 21.33% of total doctorate enrollment. This figure shows a decrease from 2023, implying a downward trend continuing over the next five years. The share is forecasted to decline year-on-year: by 3.6% from 2024 to 2025, 3.6% from 2025 to 2026, 3.7% from 2026 to 2027, and 3.8% from 2027 to 2028. The compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) from 2024 through 2028 indicates an average annual decrease of 3.7% in the percentage of international doctoral students.
Future trends to watch for include possible immigration policy changes, global economic conditions, and the international reputation of US institutions. These factors could significantly affect international student numbers and should be monitored closely.
