The forecast for cataract surgeries performed as outpatient cases in the UK from 2024 to 2028 is stable, with no anticipated change in the number of surgeries each year, remaining at 1.4 million. In 2023, the actual number of surgeries stood at a similar level, indicating no year-on-year variation from 2024 onwards. Over five years, the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) remains unchanged at 0%, signaling stagnation in volume growth.

Future trends to watch for include:

Advancements in surgical techniques and technology, potentially leading to shorter recovery times and increased throughput.
Changes in healthcare policy and funding, which might affect service availability and capacity in the public and private sectors.
Demographic shifts, particularly an aging population, which could increase demand for cataract surgeries in the longer term.