In 2023, Italy's production of fresh Atlantic bonito in capture fisheries was estimated to be higher than the forecast for 2024. From 2024 onwards, there is a consistent downward trend, with the production volume decreasing annually from 341.5 metric tons in 2024 to just 73.7 metric tons in 2028. This represents significant year-on-year declines: 20% from 2024 to 2025, 24.5% from 2025 to 2026, 32.3% from 2026 to 2027, and 47.2% from 2027 to 2028. Over the five-year period, the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) is markedly negative, indicating a strong contraction in production.
Future trends to watch for:
- Environmental factors affecting fish stock availability.
- Regulatory changes in fishing quotas or conservation efforts.
- Market demand fluctuations influencing production motivation.
- Technological advancements in alternative fishing methods.
