Forecast: Number of Road Injury Accidents on Motorways in Sweden

The number of road injury accidents on motorways in Sweden has experienced a general decline from 2013 to 2023, decreasing from 1.44 thousand accidents to 1.11 thousand accidents. The annual variation has fluctuated, with certain years showing increases, such as 2015 and 2017, but overall, the trend remains downward. Over the last two years, a steady decline is notable with a year-on-year decrease of approximately -4.07% for both 2022 and 2023. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over the past five years is -3.86%, reflecting a steady reduction in accidents.

Future projections indicate a continuous decline, reaching 0.858 thousand accidents by 2028, representing a forecasted 5-year CAGR of -4.05% and an overall decrease of 18.67% from 2023 levels.

Trends to watch for include advancements in vehicle safety technologies, infrastructure improvements, and increased adoption of autonomous driving, which could potentially accelerate the reduction in road injury accidents.