Analyzing the forecasted crude mortality rate of mental disorders in urban areas of China from 2024 to 2028, we observe a consistent year-on-year increase. The actual value for 2023 stood at 3.60 per hundred thousand. The data indicates that the mortality rate is expected to rise progressively each year, reaching 3.79 per hundred thousand by 2028. Between 2024 and 2025, the rate increases by 1.37%, followed by a similar trend of 1.08% to 0.8% through 2028. The compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) over this five-year period is approximately 1.01%.
Future trends to watch for:
• Exploring underlying factors contributing to the steady increase in mortality rates could be beneficial.
• Monitoring the effectiveness of mental health interventions and policies implemented in urban areas.
• Assessing the impact of socio-economic changes and healthcare infrastructure improvements on mental health mortality rates.