The data indicates a consistent decline in the total number of scientific publications in biotechnology in France, falling from 235.3 publications in 2013 to 153.23 publications in 2023, signifying a 34.86% decrease. The year-on-year variation shows significant fluctuations, with the most recent two years seeing decreases of 2.27% in 2022 and 3.86% in 2023. Looking at the CAGR over the last five years, there is an average annual decline of 4.15%. From 2024 onward, the forecast illustrates a continued downward trend, with a projected CAGR of -2.48% leading to a further forecasted reduction of 11.82% by 2028.
Future trends to watch for include:
- Potential shifts in funding and policy changes impacting research output.
- The effect of emerging technologies and interdisciplinary approaches in revitalizing publication rates.
- Global collaborations that might offset domestic publication declines.