In 2023, the number of top-cited scientific publications in biotechnology stood as the baseline for the forecasts. Starting in 2024, the forecast predicts a consistent year-on-year decline in the number of publications. By 2028, the number is expected to decrease further, indicating a downward trend. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over the next five years is negative, suggesting a challenging environment for maintaining high-impact publications in this sector.

Future trends to watch for include:

Emergence of new research areas and technologies
Changes in funding priorities and policies influencing publication volumes
Potential collaboration boosts from international or interdisciplinary partnerships
Innovation-driven spikes that could alter the trajectory