In 2024, the share of corresponding/leading authors in scientific publications in ecology in Canada is forecasted at 86.57%. This represents a slight decline from 2023, showcasing a gradual downward trend projected to continue through 2028, decreasing annually by approximately 0.29 percentage points. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) for this five-year period indicates a gentle but consistent contraction. The year-on-year percentage decrease is small, yet persistent.

Future trends to watch for include:

Potential impact of international collaboration on authorship roles.
Changes in publication practices potentially affecting the distribution of author roles.
The influence of evolving scientific policies and funding patterns on authorship dynamics.