In 2023, Italy's whole fresh sardine production in capture fisheries for human consumption stood at 11.89 thousand metric tons. Forecast data suggests a declining trend from 2024, with production dropping to 11.31 thousand metric tons. This downward trajectory continues through 2028, reflecting a 5 yearly decrease in volume to 7.97 thousand metric tons by 2028. Year-on-year percentage declines are approximately -7.5% from 2024 to 2025, and -8% from 2025 to 2026. From 2026 to 2027 and 2027 to 2028, the yearly drop increases to around -8.6% and -9.3% respectively. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) for the 2024-2028 period is approximately -8.2%.
Future trends to watch include environmental factors affecting fish stocks, potential regulatory changes impacting fishing quotas, and technological advances in sustainable fishing practices. These could either exacerbate or mitigate the forecasted decline in sardine production.
