The production of primary solid biofuels in the Netherlands has shown a consistent upward trend from 2013 to 2023, growing from 1.18 million tonnes of oil equivalent (Mtoe) to 1.97 Mtoe. The annual growth rates fluctuated, with notable increases in 2017, 2019, and especially from 2020 onwards. The period between 2021 and 2022 saw significant year-on-year increases of 12.67% and 6.53%, respectively. 2023 marked an impressive year-on-year increase of 7.29%, with an average annual growth rate (CAGR) of 8% over the past five years.
Looking ahead, the forecast predicts the continuation of this surge, estimating a production volume of 2.52 Mtoe by 2028. The forecasted five-year CAGR is 3.73%, suggesting sustained growth, though at a slightly moderated pace. By 2028, the five-year growth rate is expected to be 20.09%, highlighting the sector's robust expansion potential.
Future trends to watch for include advancements in biofuel technology, policy changes favoring renewable energy, and the evolving role of biofuels in achieving national and EU climate targets. Additionally, market demand shifts and raw material availability will be critical factors influencing production trends.
