In 2023, the share of corresponding/leading authors in scientific publications in gastroenterology in Italy stood at a point just above the projected 2024 value. From 2024 onwards, forecasts show a gradual decline in this share, moving down from 88.07% in 2024 to 84.68% by 2028. The year-on-year decrease indicates a steady reduction of about 0.85 percentage points annually.
The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) suggests an average annual decline over the five-year period. Future trends to monitor include collaborative international research's impact on author distribution, shifts in research dynamics, and the increasing role of emerging researchers in Italy as the landscape of gastroenterology evolves.
