The total number of scientific publications in gastroenterology in Thailand saw varied fluctuations from 2013 to 2023. Starting at 20.51 publications in 2013, the number decreased slightly but showed a slight increase by 2014. A significant drop occurred in 2015, followed by a rebound in 2016 and a stable pattern through 2017. The number declined again in 2018 but surged in 2019. A remarkable increase continued through 2020 and 2021, reaching 65.98 units in 2023. This figure in 2023 signifies a 27.76% compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over the past five years.
Notable year-on-year variations included substantial growth in 2016, 2019, and 2020, with smaller yet positive gains in other recent years.
Looking forward, the forecasted data from 2024 to 2028 suggest a continued upward trajectory, with a projected CAGR of 8.38% over the next five years culminating in a forecasted 112.81 publications by 2028, representing a 49.53% expected growth rate compared to 2023.
Future trends to watch for include potential influences from increased research funding, broader international collaborations, and advances in gastroenterological treatments and diagnostics which could further drive publication rates upwards.
