Inland passenger transport movements in France have shown notable fluctuations over the past decade. From 2013 to 2017, there was a steady growth in volume, peaking in 2019 at 1018.7 billion passenger kilometers. However, the COVID-19 pandemic caused a significant decline in 2020, dropping to 781.39 billion passenger kilometers. Recovery has been gradual, with 2022 reaching 986.23 billion passenger kilometers, but a slight decline observed in 2023 to 952.59 billion passenger kilometers. The overall Average Growth Rate (CAGR) over the last five years stands at -1.09%, impacting the longer-term growth pattern.
Looking forward, forecasts suggest a modest recovery with an expected CAGR of 0.71% over the next five years, reaching 996.08 billion passenger kilometers by 2028, marking a 3.6% growth from 2023 levels. This indicates a slow yet stable rebound in the inland passenger transport sector.
Future trends to watch for include:
- The ongoing impact of remote work reducing commuter traffic.
- Shifts towards sustainable and eco-friendly transport options.
- Changes in tourism patterns influencing long-distance travel demand.
