From 2023 to 2028, the number of new clinically diagnosed pulmonary tuberculosis cases in Japan is forecasted to decline steadily from 1.14 thousand in 2024 to 0.948 thousand in 2028. This represents a year-on-year decrease of 4.39% in 2025, 5.50% in 2026, 3.98% in 2027, and 4.14% in 2028. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over this five-year period is approximately -4.57%, indicating a consistent reduction in cases each year.

Future trends to watch for:

The impact of new public health interventions and vaccination programs on TB incidence rates.
Advancements in diagnostic technologies and their effect on early detection and accurate reporting.
Potential influence of socioeconomic factors and healthcare access improvements on TB control efforts.