Forecast: Number of New and Relapse Tuberculosis Cases in the US

The number of new and relapse tuberculosis cases in the US is on a declining trend. In 2023, there were approximately 7.40 thousand cases. From the forecasted data, the number of cases is expected to decrease year-on-year by around 5% annually, achieving a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of -5.5% from 2024 to 2028. This consistent decline suggests ongoing advancements in public health measures and effective tuberculosis management and treatment strategies.

Future trends to watch for:

  • Continued enhancement of tuberculosis prevention and treatment programs could further accelerate the decline in case numbers.
  • Potential impacts of changes in healthcare policies and funding on tuberculosis control efforts.
  • Demographic shifts and emerging health threats that could influence tuberculosis prevalence and response strategies.

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