The rate of cervical cancer screening among women aged 20-69 in the Netherlands saw a significant decline from 2013 onwards, dropping from a high of 66.2 in 2013 to 53.7 in 2023. Over the period of 2013-2023, there were sharp year-on-year decreases notably in 2016 (-6.37%) and 2020 (-11.25%). Although there were minor rebounds such as a 10.26% increase in 2021, the overall trend remained negative with a five-year CAGR of -1.39% up to 2023.
Looking ahead, the forecast suggests a continuing decline in screening rates through 2028, with the rate expected to drop to 48.6. The projected five-year CAGR is expected to be -1.57%, translating to a forecasted overall decrease of 7.6% over the 2024-2028 period.
Future trends to watch for include new screening technologies, shifts in public health policies, and changes in public awareness and education about cervical cancer screening, which may influence participation rates. Close monitoring of these factors will be essential for predicting future screening behaviors and rates.
