The forecasted import volumes of salted, in brine, dried, or smoked hams and swine shoulders into the UK from 2024 to 2028 are projected to decline steadily. In 2024, imports stand at 3.8913 million kilograms, decreasing to 3.1123 million kilograms by 2028. This indicates a consistent downward trend with an average annual decrease of approximately 5.3% over this period. For context, reported imports in 2023 were 4.1 million kilograms, showing an accelerating trend of decline since 2023.

Future trends to monitor include:

Potential shifts in UK consumer preferences towards alternative protein sources.
Trade policy adjustments post-Brexit affecting import patterns.
Impact of environmental and sustainability concerns on the meat industry.