From 2024 to 2028, imports of frozen bone-in swine hams, shoulders, and cuts to China are projected to increase consistently. The forecasts indicate year-on-year growth rates from 2024 to 2028, with cumulative growth expected to reach approximately 14.98% by 2028. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over the five-year period suggests a steady upward trend in import value, reflecting sustained demand in the Chinese market. In 2023, the value stood significantly lower than forecasted figures, highlighting a noteworthy increase over the forecasted period.
Future trends to watch include potential shifts in global swine production, changes in China’s domestic swine farming policies, and fluctuations in global trade relations, which could all influence import dynamics. Additionally, consumer preferences and their impact on demand for specific pork products will be crucial in shaping future import scenarios.