Forecast: Arms Exports by the US

US arms exports have shown variable growth patterns over the past decade, beginning with significant drops in 2013 and surging in 2014 and 2017. Despite slight fluctuations, export values hovered around $9-10 billion between 2014 and 2020. Notably, 2022 saw the highest recorded value at $14.515 billion, marking a sharp 32.03% increase from the previous year. As of 2023, the value stands at $14.713 billion, showing a mild increase of 1.36% from 2022.

Future anticipated trends (2024-2028) suggest a steady annual growth rate (CAGR) of 1.09%, with arms exports expected to rise progressively, reaching $15.753 billion by 2028. Industry stakeholders should monitor geopolitical shifts, government defense policies, and emerging market dynamics as key factors influencing these trends.

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