The forecast for Brazil's share of scientific publications in ecology reaching the world's top 10% cited from 2024 to 2028 depicts a gradual decline from 6.26% in 2024 to 6.19% in 2028. The share stood at approximately the same level in 2023 as in 2024. Year-on-year variation from 2024 to 2028 shows a slight decline, indicating a steady yet marginal downward trend. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over this period reflects a consistent decrease.
Future trends to watch for include potential impacts of increased investment in ecological research, international collaboration opportunities, and policy changes to promote higher citation impact. Strategic efforts could help reverse the subtle decline in high-impact publications.
