Forecast: Alcoholic Beverages Import Volume in Sweden

The volume of alcoholic beverage imports in Sweden has experienced variability over the past decade. From a peak of 709 thousand metric tons in 2015, the volume saw a general decline, reaching 547.8 thousand metric tons in 2020, which marked a significant drop. Post-pandemic recovery saw a resurgence, with volumes increasing to 657 thousand metric tons in 2022, followed by a slight decrease to 656 thousand metric tons in 2023, marking a minor year-on-year decline of 0.15%. Over the last five years, the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) averaged at -0.39%, indicating a modest overall downward trend.

Looking forward, the forecasted data from 2024 to 2028 suggests a continued gradual decline in import volumes, with a projected five-year CAGR of -0.18%, cumulating in an overall reduction rate of 0.88% over this period. This trend reflects a potential stabilization of the market.

Future Trends to Watch For:

  • Evolving consumer preferences towards local or craft beverages.
  • The impact of regulatory changes and tariffs on import volumes.
  • Economic factors influencing disposable income and spending on alcoholic beverages.
  • Potential shifts resulting from global supply chain adjustments post-pandemic.
  • Environmental influences on the production and transportation of imported alcoholic beverages.