Analyzing the interurban national traffic of buses and coaches in Norway reveals a declining trend from 2013 to 2023, where the traffic stood at 167 million vehicle-kilometers. Over the past two years, the year-on-year variation indicates a consistent decrease, particularly -4.02% in 2023 and -2.35% in 2022. The Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) over the last five years ending in 2023 is -4.02%, showing a significant average annual reduction.
Forecasts suggest a continued decline, with the traffic expected to drop to 136 million vehicle-kilometers by 2028. The forecasted CAGR from 2024 to 2028 is -3.32%, indicating an average annual reduction rate, culminating in an overall forecasted five-year decline of 15.53%.
Future trends to watch for include potential impacts from increased adoption of alternative transport modes, further enhancements in digital and remote working reducing travel needs, and environmental regulations impacting long-distance bus services.
