The tuberculosis prevalence in Kenya has shown minor fluctuations from 2013 to 2023, with the value remaining mostly stable around 266 cases per hundred thousand persons, except for slight decreases in 2021 when it dropped to 265, and continuing at that level through 2024. The year-on-year variation over the past two years has been negligible, with a 0% change in 2022 and 2023.

The five-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) from 2019 to 2023 is approximately -0.075%, indicating a slight downward trend in disease prevalence. Looking ahead to 2028, the forecasted five-year CAGR is -0.08%, with an overall growth rate of -0.38%, suggesting that tuberculosis prevalence is expected to decline marginally.

Future trends to watch for include:

Potential impacts of public health interventions and vaccination programs on TB prevalence.
The effects of socioeconomic factors and healthcare access improvements on disease control.
Emergence of drug-resistant TB strains which could affect prevalence rates.