Forecast: Turnover of Road Freight Transport in the UK

The turnover of road freight transport in the UK has shown noteworthy volatility over the past decade. In 2023, turnover stood at 26.73 billion euros, reflecting a marginal decline of 0.85% year-on-year. Looking back at the past few years, there were substantial fluctuations, with notable dips in 2020 during the pandemic. However, there were periods of recovery such as in 2021 with a 13.46% increase. The period from 2018 to 2022 shows a relatively flat trend with fluctuation around 27 billion euros. The 5-year CAGR leading up to 2023 was negative at -0.74%, indicating a slight average annual decline.

Future forecasts suggest a continuing but gradual decline in turnover, reaching 25.45 billion euros in 2028, reflecting a forecasted 5-year CAGR decline of -0.71%. Over the next few years, the market is expected to shrink, reflecting structural changes and potential economic shifts.

The following future trends are essential to watch for:

  • Potential economic impacts such as Brexit, global supply chain disruptions, and evolving trade policies.
  • Technological advancements in logistics including automation and electric vehicles which may lead to efficiency improvements.
  • Environmental regulations pushing towards more sustainable freight solutions.
  • Market consolidation and the emergence of large logistics players driving competitive dynamics.

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