Forecast: Baccille Calmette Guérin Vaccine (BCG) Immunization Coverage in Singapore

The BCG vaccine immunization coverage in Singapore has remained remarkably stable over the years. From 2013 to 2017, the coverage rate was consistently at 99%. A slight dip to 98% occurred in 2018 and continued at this rate through to 2023. The coverage for 2024 onwards is forecasted to maintain this stable trend, remaining at 98%.

In terms of year-on-year variation, there was a one-time drop of 1.01% in 2018, attributed to a decrease in coverage from 99% to 98%, which adjusted the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) to -0.2% over the last five years. Despite this minor dip, the CAGR stabilized at 0% for the subsequent years up to 2023 and is projected to continue at this level through to 2028.

Future trends to watch for:

  • Potential policy changes that might impact immunization strategies.
  • Public health initiatives aimed at maintaining or improving coverage.
  • Healthcare system responses to emerging health threats or vaccine supply issues.

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